Hrvatski ekonomski preporod

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 Hrvatski ekonomski preporod

Foruma za novu ekonomsku politiku i blagostanje


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    • Post n°573

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Re: Komentari vijesti

    Postaj  Nostradurus 24.03.15 19:22

    wiz je napisao/la:RATKO BOŠKOVIĆ Što s gubitkom banaka od 3,5 milijardi kuna


    Kada je 2002. godine Riječka banka izgubila (današnjih) ‘samo’ 770 milijuna kuna, krivac za to odležao je u zatvoru šest godina....

    Baš je zanimljivo kako naše banke doma beru profit, a na trgovanju ostvaruju gubitke. To mi liči na običnu kockarnicu.
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    • Post n°574

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Monetarna reforma u prvom planu programa Novog vala

    Postaj  Nostradurus 27.03.15 11:10

    Ljubo ima plan. Čini se da je dosta izkopirao od Karina. Sjetio se da stavi monetarnu politiku na 1. mjesto. Šteta je samo što se radi o emisiji novca preko kreditiranja iz centralne banke koja je naravno otplativa samo u posebnom slučaju kada država ima fantastično visoke suficite u vanjskoj trgovinskoj bilanci. :-)

    http://www.tportal.hr/biznis/politika-i-ekonomija/375259/Jurcic-HNB-mora-preuzeti-ulogu-kreditora-drzave.html

    U Novom valu smatraju da je reforma monetarnog sustava trenutačno ključna za pokretanje hrvatskog gospodarstva. 'Do prije par godina bilo je prostora da se problemi riješe kroz fiskalnu politiku, ali danas se više ne može riješiti nijedan veliki problem bez diranja u monetarnu politiku', kaže Ljubo Jurčić ističući da je glavni cilj ove reforme vraćanje kuni svih funkcija novca.
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    • Post n°575

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Re: Komentari vijesti

    Postaj  wiz 27.03.15 20:00

    Black Swan 2: This Is "The Next Critical Chapter In The Austrian Banking System Story"


    When it comes to the sweeping of (trillions of) toxic assets until such time as the ECB starts purchasing not only government bonds but equities, bank loans and really anything else that in a normal world would have some "mark to market" value, Europe had a ready answer: bad banks. A tradition which started with Switzerland and the semi-bailout of UBS during the great financial crisis, "bad banks" have been proposed every time there are a few hundred billion in bad assets that need to be swept away or otherwise removed from the the public eye.
    In fact, it was just a few hours ago that Spain's economy minister praised the usefulness of bad banks, which have certainly seen their fair share of use in Spain over the past 5 years.

    • GUINDOS: BAD BANKS USEFUL INSTRUMENT TO CLEAN UP BALANCE SHEETS.


    Yes, useful. Until you have a massive blow up like in Austria when several years of avoiding reality exploded in everyone's face when the Bad Bank meant to fix the mess left after the collapse of Hypo Alpe Adria itself became insolvent, after the horrendous state of its balance sheet could no longer be masked, and creditors were shocked to learn they would foot the bail out, or rather bail in costs thanks to massive debt writedowns.
    And since there is never just one cockroach when it comes to hiding Europe's biggest financial problem, namely trillions in non-performing loans, the question always is: which cockroach is next?
    For now the answer, thanks to the ECB's relentless intervention in all capital markets is hiding, but one proposal comes from Daiwa Capital Markets which suggests to take a long hard look at Austria's Pfandbriefbank Oesterreich AG.
    Here is what Daiwa's Jakub Lichwa thinks:

    • A relatively low-profile entity in Austria – Pfandbriefbank Oesterreich AG (Pfandbriefbank) – is becoming the next critical chapter in the Austrian banking system story.

    • This all started with the capital shortfall disclosure by Heta Asset Resolution AG (Heta), which prompted the Austrian Financial Market Authority (FMA) to announce on 1 March 2015 a moratorium on Heta’s debt securities, including €10.2bn of senior unsecured bonds guaranteed by the State of Carinthia. Carinthia has indicated that it does not have either the resources or will to honour these guarantees, which should be activated upon the bail-in or insolvency of Heta. This has sparked investor uncertainty about the broader guarantee framework in Austria.

    • Given Pfandbriefbank’s exposure to Heta, that moratorium has a direct effect on Pfandbriefbank’s standalone ability to repay nearly €600mn of bonds due in June 2015. As things currently stand, these can only be repaid if Pfandbriefbank’s own guarantees are invoked. If they are not, that will further undermine guarantee mechanisms in Austria, and possibly beyond.

    • The Austrian regional mortgage banks have publicly announced their commitment on 4 March 2015 to adhere to these guarantees, although the current trading level of senior unsecured bonds (PFBKOS 2.875 07/17) does not imply investor confidence in these assurances.

    • Nevertheless, the PFBKOS 2.875 07/17 bond is currently quoted at around 95 (z-spread of 583bps), a significant discount from the 108 (z-spread of 2bps) level seen prior to the announcement of the Heta moratorium, reflecting investors’ increasing doubts about Austria’s guarantee mechanisms.

    • The reaction from the rating agencies to the Heta moratorium has been more sanguine, suggesting that they believe that Pfandbriefbank’s own guarantees will be honoured. S&P sees no immediate effect of the recent events on the two related Austrian entities it rates, while Moody’s placed Pfandbriefbank’s A2 rating on review earlier in March, but did not downgrade it.


    Daiwa's conclusion, ironically, after correctly calculating where the next major capital shortfall will be, reverts to the logic of the original Heta Asset Resolution bondholders, and assumes that all shall be well, and that this time, the government will not let the bank fail because the downstream effects will reverberate even louder and with far more dire consequences. To wit:


    We are inclined to agree with the rating agencies that these guarantees will ultimately be honoured.
    Fine, but keep in mind: there are those FX carry traders who were inclined to agree that the SNB would never drop its EURCHF peg, and were promptly carted out feet first when it did. And then there were those bondholders who also thought they would never be bailed-in to rescue Austria's Bad Bank. They too lost at least half of their investment.
    In fact, the number of cases where investors go all in on a bet that some official public authority will not let them down, appear to be spreading very fast in the past few months. Which is why for any bondholders still long Pfandbriefbank bonds, the time to exit the dance-off is be now. Because when another shock announcement follows and sleepy Pfandbriefbank announces it is the next casualty of Austria's completely unexpected black swan, you will have nobody to blame but yourselves.
    Full Daiwa Note:
    Pfandbriefbank - Not Another Heta?
    DetailPfandbriefbank is an issuing vehicle for its member banks (including Heta – the wind up entity for Hypo Alpe Adria Bank), with total assets of €5.6bn as of end-FY14, and very limited equity, given its business profile. The funds raised by the entity are channeled to its members and therefore Pfandbriefbank relies on the payment of these claims to service its own liabilities.
    This reliance is strengthened by the Pfandbriefstelle-Act and Article 92 of the Austrian Banking Act, according to which members of Pfandbriefbank and their respective liable public authorities (Gewährsträger) are jointly and severally liable for all obligations of Pfandbriefbank. In an event of default, recourse against any or all of the member institutes and their respective liable public authorities is possible.
    The members include: Hypo Noe Gruppe Bank AG (-/A/-, by Moody’s/S&P/Fitch), Hypo NOE Landesbank AG (-/A/-), Vorarlberger Landes- und Hypothekenbank AG (A2 RuRd/-/-), Hypo Tirol Bank AG (Baa2 RuRd/-/-), Landes-Hypothekenbank Steiermark AG (-/-/-), Salzburger Landes-Hypothekenbank AG (-/-/-), Hypo-Bank Burgenland AG (-/-/-), Austrian Anadi-Bank AG (-/-/-), and Heta Asset Resolution AG (Ca/-/-).
    Pfandbriefbank has funded its activities via the wholesale markets, although it has not issued any bonds since 2007.
    Pfandbriefbank’s bonds came into focus at the beginning of March following the announcement of the moratorium on Heta’s liabilities, whereby the Austrian Financial Market Authority suspended the interest or principal payments on some of Heta’s liabilities until 31 May 2016, with a view to drawing up a resolution strategy by then. The moratorium included €10.2bn of senior unsecured bonds guaranteed by the Province of Carinthia. Carinthia has indicated that it does not have either the resources or will to honour these guarantees.
    Pfandbriefbank carries €1.24bn of exposure to Heta, of which nearly €600mn will come due in June 2015. By this date, the guaranteeing member states will need to agree and extend liquidity support to Pfandbriefbank AG or €5.6bn of its liabilities could come due immediately.
    The Austrian regional mortgage banks have publicly announced their commitment on 4 March 2015 to adhere to these guarantees, although the current trading level of senior unsecured bonds (PFBKOS 2.875 07/17) does not imply investor confidence in these assurances.
    In recently published research, Moody’s stated that “honouring of the guarantee obligations for Pfandbriefbank has limited impact on the federal states' risk-bearing capacity”. This suggests that what is in doubt is the willingness of the guarantors to act in line with their statement of 4 March, rather than the financial capacity of the guarantors to honour their commitments.
    To our mind, therefore, there is a fundamental difference between the case of Heta, where Carinthia’s guarantee obligations threatened to sink the state financially, and Pfandbriefbank, where the guarantee obligations for the states are much less onerous.
    Given this, and the potential contagion impact on trust in other guarantee structures if these obligations were also reneged on, it would appear more likely than not that that the guarantees provided to Pfandbriefbank will indeed be honoured. The current price of Pfandbriefbank’s bonds does not reflect that.
    * * *
    Until it does of course.


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-03-27/black-swan-2-next-critical-chapter-austrian-banking-system-story


    Posljedice hypo banke se sire po austriji i njemackoj.
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    • Post n°576

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Grčić: Situacija je teška, potreban je dodatni fiskalni napor

    Postaj  Nostradurus 14.04.15 22:33

    Kako sva javna poduzeća mogu postati profitabilna? Odlična je to ideja sa posljedicama za realni sektor u vidu smanjenja vjerojatnosti profita, točnije povećanje vjerojatnosti rada sa gubitkom. A istu posljedicu ima i rezanje deficita proračuna kao i deficit platne bilance sa inozemstvom. I sve to imamo. Prema tome, slijede vremena otriježnjenja sa sigurnim bankrotom države.

    http://www.banka.hr/hrvatska/grcic-situacija-je-teska-potreban-je-dodatni-fiskalni-napor
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    • Post n°577

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Najava nove krize u SAD-u?

    Postaj  BUBI 15.04.15 13:42

    Najava nove krize u SAD-u zbog nagomilavanja neotplativih studentskih kredita američkih studenata. 
    Baš me zanima koliko je u Hrvatskoj neotplativih studentskih kredita.

    http://www.poslovni.hr/trzista/studentski-krediti-zaceli-novu-krizu-294105
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    • Post n°578

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Re: Komentari vijesti

    Postaj  Nostradurus 16.04.15 8:32

    BUBI je napisao/la:Najava nove krize u SAD-u zbog nagomilavanja neotplativih studentskih kredita američkih studenata. 
    Baš me zanima koliko je u Hrvatskoj neotplativih studentskih kredita.

    http://www.poslovni.hr/trzista/studentski-krediti-zaceli-novu-krizu-294105

    Studentski krediti su loša makroekonomska ideja. Ako bi svi mogli otplatiti kredit za školovanje i štedjeti, jasno je da se od nekud mora pojaviti novac bez duga. A toga u Americi nema. Idea
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    • Post n°579

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Valja nama preko MOSTA ili ipak ne?

    Postaj  Nostradurus 16.04.15 21:53

    Naš slijedeći ministar financija će se u narodu sigurno zvati Vot-a-fak-is? Imamo i kandidata iz MOSTA.

    >>Panenić je rekao da ni SDP-ov Plan 21 ni onaj koji za HDZ već mjesecima pišu u Münchenu nisu loši.
    - Problem je u tome što te stranke to nikada neće provesti – kazao je.<<

    Kako može plan biti dobar, ako je neostvariv? I onda genijalac pukne da postoji stranka koja bi ga mogla provesti. :-) :-)

    http://www.24sata.hr/politika/petrov-promjene-su-moguce-ali-most-nece-moliti-za-glas-414999
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    • Post n°580

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    Postaj  wiz 27.04.15 1:14

    Very few people understand what Putin is doing at the moment. And almost no one understands what he will do in the future.


    No matter how strange it may seem, but right now, Putin is selling Russian oil and gas only for physical gold.

    Putin is not shouting about it all over the world. And of course, he still accepts US dollars as an intermediate means of payment. But he immediately exchanges all these dollars obtained from the sale of oil and gas for physical gold!

    To understand this, it is enough to look at the dynamics of growth of gold reserves of Russia and to compare this data with foreign exchange earnings of the RF coming from the sale of oil and gas over the same period.

    Moreover, in the third quarter the purchases by Russia of physical gold are at an all-time high, record levels.  In the third quarter of this year, Russia had purchased an incredible amount of gold in the amount of 55 tons. It's more than all the central banks of all countries of the world combined (according to official data)!

    In total, the central banks of all countries of the world have purchased 93 tons of the precious metal in the third quarter of 2014. It was the 15th consecutive quarter of net purchases of gold by Central banks. Of the 93 tonnes of gold purchases by central banks around the world during this period, the staggering volume of purchases - of 55 tons - belongs to Russia.

    Not so long ago, British scientists have successfully come to the same conclusion, as was published in the Conclusion of the U.S. Geological survey a few years ago. Namely: Europe will not be able to survive without energy supply from Russia. Translated from English to any other language in the world it means: "The world will not be able to survive if oil and gas from Russia is subtracted from the global balance of energy supply".

    Thus, the Western world, built on the hegemony of the petrodollar, is in a catastrophic situation. In which it cannot survive without oil and gas supplies from Russia. And Russia is now ready to sell its oil and gas to the West only in exchange for physical gold! The twist of Putin's game is that the mechanism for the sale of Russian energy to the West only for gold now works regardless of whether the West agrees to pay for Russian oil and gas with its artificially cheap gold, or not.

    Since Russia has a constant flow of dollars from the sale of oil and gas, it will be able to convert these dollars to buy gold at current gold prices, depressed by all means by the West. This equates gold price, which had been artificially and meticulously lowered by the Fed and ESF many time…via artificially inflated purchasing power of the dollar through market manipulation.

    Interesting fact:  The suppression of gold prices by the special department of US Government - ESF (Exchange Stabilization Fund) - with the aim of stabilizing the dollar has been made into a law in the United States.

    In the financial world it is (generally) accepted as a given that gold is anti-dollar…i.e. the gold price runs inverse to value of the dollar.

    In 1971, US President Richard Nixon closed the 'gold window', ending the free exchange of dollars for gold, guaranteed by the US in 1944 at Bretton Woods.
    In 2014, Russian President Vladimir Putin has reopened the 'gold window', without asking Washington's permission.

    Right now the West spends much of its efforts and resources to suppress the prices of gold and oil. Thereby, on the one hand to distort the existing economic reality in favor of the US dollar …and on the other hand, to destroy the Russian economy, refusing to play the role of obedient vassal of the West.

    Today assets such as gold and oil look proportionally weakened and excessively undervalued against the US dollar. It is a consequence of the enormous economic effort on the part of the West.

    And now Putin sells Russian energy resources in exchange for these US dollars, artificially propped by the efforts of the West. With these dollar proceeds Putin immediately buys gold, artificially devalued against the U.S. dollar by the efforts of the West itself!

    There is another interesting element in Putin's game. It's Russian uranium. Every sixth light bulb in the USA depends on its supply, which Russia sells to the US too…for dollars.

    Thus, in exchange for Russian oil, gas and uranium, the West pays Russia with dollars, purchasing power of which is artificially inflated against oil and gold by the efforts (manipulations) of the West.  However,  Putin uses these dollars only to withdraw physical gold from the West in exchange at a price denominated in US dollars, artificially lowered by the same West.

    This truly brilliant economic combination by Putin puts the West led by the United States in a position of a snake, aggressively and diligently devouring its own tail.

    The idea of this economic golden trap for the West is probably not authored by Putin himself. Most likely it was the idea of Putin's Advisor for Economic Affairs – Dr. Sergey Glazyev. Otherwise,  why seemingly not involved in business bureaucrat Glazyev, along with many Russian businessmen, was personally included by Washington on the sanction list?  The idea of an economist,  Dr. Glazyev was brilliantly executed by Putin…but with full endorsement from his Chinese colleague - XI Jinping.

    Especially interesting in this context looks the November statement of the first Deputy Chairman of Central Bank of Russia Ksenia Yudaeva, which stressed that the CBR can use the gold from its reserves to pay for imports, if need be. It is obvious that in terms of sanctions by the Western world, this statement is addressed to the BRICS countries, and first of all China. For China, Russia's willingness to pay for goods with Western gold is very convenient. And here's why:

    China recently announced that it will cease to increase its gold and currency reserves denominated in US dollars. Considering the growing trade deficit between the US and China (the current difference is five times in favor of China), then this statement translated from the financial language reads: "China stops selling their goods for dollars". The world's media chose not to notice this grandest in the recent monetary historic event . The issue is not that China literally refuses to sell its goods for US dollars. China, of course, will continue to accept US dollars as an intermediate means of payment for its goods. But, having taken dollars, China will immediately get rid of them and replace with something else in the structure of its gold and currency reserves. Otherwise the statement made by the monetary authorities of China loses its meaning: "We are stopping the increase of our gold and currency reserves, denominated in US dollars." That is, China will no longer buy United States Treasury bonds for dollars earned from trade with any countries, as they did this before.

    Thus, China will replace all the dollars that it will receive for its goods not only from the US but from all over the world with something else not to increase their gold currency reserves, denominated in US dollars. And here is an interesting question: what will China replace all the trade dollars with? What currency or an asset? Analysis of the current monetary policy of China shows that most likely the dollars coming from trade, or a substantial chunk of them, China will quietly replace and de facto is already replacing with Gold.

    In this aspect, the solitaire of Russian-Chinese relations is extremely successful for Moscow and Beijing. Russia buys goods from China directly for gold at its current price. While China buys Russian energy resources for gold at its current price. At this Russian-Chinese festival of life there is a place for everything: Chinese goods, Russian energy resources, and gold - as a means of mutual payment. Only the US dollar has no place at this festival of life. And this is not surprising. Because the US dollar is not a Chinese product, nor a Russian energy resource. It is only an intermediate financial instrument of settlement - and an unnecessary intermediary. And it is customary to exclude unnecessary intermediaries from the interaction of two independent business partners.

    It should be noted separately that the global market for physical gold is extremely small relative to the world market for physical oil supplies. And especially the world market for physical gold is microscopic compared to the entirety of world markets for physical delivery of oil, gas, uranium and goods.

    Emphasis on the phrase "physical gold" is made because in exchange for its physical, not 'paper' energy resources, Russia is now withdrawing gold from the West, but only in its physical, not paper form.  China accomplishes this by acquiring from the West the artificially devalued physical gold as a payment for physical delivery of real products to the West.

    The West hopes that Russia and China will accept as payment for their energy resources and goods…the "shitcoin" or so-called "paper gold" of various kinds also did not materialize. Russia and China are only interested in real gold and only the physical metal as a final means of payment.

    For reference: the turnover of the market of paper gold, only of gold futures, is estimated at $360 billion per month. But physical delivery of gold is only for $280 million a month. This equates to a ratio of trade of paper gold versus physical gold to 1000 to 1.

    Using the mechanism of active withdrawal from the market of one artificially lowered by the West financial asset (gold) in exchange for another artificially inflated by the West financial asset (USD), Putin has thereby started the countdown to the end of the world hegemony of petrodollar. Thus, Putin has put the West in a deadlock of the absence of any positive economic prospects.

    The West can spend as much of its efforts and resources to artificially increase the purchasing power of the dollar, lower oil prices and artificially lower the purchasing power of gold. The problem of the West is that the stocks of physical gold in possession of the West are not unlimited. Therefore, the more the West devalues oil and gold against the US dollar, the faster it loses devaluing Gold from its not infinite reserves.

    In this brilliantly played by Putin economic combination,  physical gold from the reserves of the West is rapidly flowing to Russia, China, Brazil, Kazakhstan and India (i.e. the BRICS countries).   At the current rate of reduction of reserves of physical gold, the West simply does not have the time to do anything against Putin's Russia until the collapse of the entire Western petrodollar world. In chess the situation in which Putin has put the West, led by the US, is called "time trouble".

    The Western world has never faced such economic events and phenomena that are happening right now.  The former USSR rapidly sold gold during the fall of oil prices.  Today, Russia rapidly buys gold during the fall in oil prices. Thus, Russia poses a real threat to the American model of petrodollar world domination.

    The main principle of world petrodollar model is allowing Western countries led by the United States to live at the expense of the labor and resources of other countries…based on the role of the US currency, dominant in the global monetary system (GMS) . The role of the US dollar in the GMS is that it is the ultimate means of payment. This means that the national currency of the United States in the structure of the GMS is the ultimate asset accumulator, to exchange which to any other asset does not make sense.

    Led by Russia and China,  what the BRICS are doing now is actually changing the role and status of the US dollar in the global monetary system. From the ultimate means of payment and asset accumulation, the national currency of the USA, by the joint actions of Moscow and Beijing is turned into only an intermediate means of payment.  Intended only to exchange this interim payment for another and the ultimate financial asset - gold. Thus, the US dollar actually loses its role as the ultimate means of payment and asset accumulation, yielding both of those roles to another recognized, denationalized and depoliticized monetary asset – GOLD!

    Traditionally, the West has used two methods to eliminate the threat to the hegemony of petrodollar model in the world and the consequent excessive privileges for the West:

    One of these methods - colored revolutions. The second method, which is usually applied by the West, if the first fails - military aggression and bombing.
    But in Russia's case both of these methods are either impossible or unacceptable for the West.

    Because, firstly, the population of Russia, unlike people in many other countries, does not wish to exchange their freedom and the future of their children for Western kielbasa (meat sausage). This is evident from the record ratings of Putin, regularly published by the leading Western rating agencies. Personal friendship of Washington protégé Navalny with Senator McCain played for him and Washington a very negative role. Having learned this fact from the media, 98% of the Russian population now perceive Navalny only as a vassal of Washington and a traitor to Russia's national interests. Therefore Western professionals, who have not yet lost their mind, cannot dream about any color revolution in Russia.

    As for the second traditional Western way of direct military aggression, Russia is certainly not Yugoslavia, not Iraq nor Libya. In any non-nuclear military operation against Russia, in the territory of Russia, the West led by the US is doomed to defeat. And the generals in the Pentagon exercising real leadership of NATO forces are aware of this. Similarly hopeless is a nuclear war against Russia, including the concept of so-called "preventive disarming nuclear strike".  NATO is simply not technically able to strike a blow that would completely disarm the nuclear potential of Russia in all its many manifestations. A massive nuclear retaliatory strike on the enemy or a pool of enemies would be inevitable. And its total capacity will be enough for survivors to envy the dead. That is, an exchange of nuclear strikes with a country like Russia is not a solution to the looming problem of the collapse of a petrodollar world. It is in the best case, a final chord and the last point in the history of its existence. In the worst case - a nuclear winter and the demise of all life on the planet, except for the bacteria mutated from radiation.

    The Western economic establishment can see and understand the essence of the situation. Leading Western economists are certainly aware of the severity of the predicament and hopelessness of the situation the Western world finds itself in, in Putin's economic gold trap. After all, since the Bretton Woods agreements, we all know the Golden rule: "Who has more gold sets the rules." But everyone in the West is silent about it. Silent because no one knows now how to get out of this situation.

    If you explain to the Western public all the details of the looming economic disaster, the public will ask the supporters of a petrodollar world the most horrific questions, which will sound like this:

    - How long will the West be able to buy oil and gas from Russia in exchange for physical gold?
    -And what will happen to the US petrodollar after the West runs out of physical gold to pay for Russian oil, gas and uranium, as well as to pay for Chinese goods?

    No one in the west today can answer these seemingly simple questions.

    And this is called "Checkmate", ladies and gentlemen. The game is over.

    http://www.gold-eagle.com/article/grandmaster-putins-golden-trap
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    • Post n°581

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Re: Komentari vijesti

    Postaj  Nostradurus 27.04.15 10:10

    Putin je pokazao kuda merkantilizam vodi Zapad. Sami su to tražili.
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    • Post n°582

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty VLADA LIKVIDIRA JAVNO ZDRAVSTVO: HZZO postaje firma, zdravlje ide na tržište!

    Postaj  Nostradurus 27.04.15 20:53

    Još jednom je politička korupcija na djelu. Privatizacija zdravstva će biti na štetu velike većine. Međutim, političke stranke koja bi bila za procesuiranje političke korupcije NEMA. A razlog je jednostavan. Kapitalizam počiva na političkoj korupciji. A kako znamo, rijetke stranke uopće sumnjaju u kapitalizam jer je opet u pitanju nečiji privatni interes. :-)

    http://www.lupiga.com/vijesti/vlada-likvidira-javno-zdravstvo-hzzo-postaje-firma-zdravlje-ide-na-trziste
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    • Post n°583

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    Postaj  wiz 06.05.15 13:57

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 ZTzfkjL
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    Postaj  wiz 15.05.15 1:29

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    • Post n°585

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    Postaj  Nostradurus 19.05.15 23:04


    Sve je po planu. Nema panike.
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    • Post n°586

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Razlozi propadanja europskih socijaldemokrata i budućnost nove ljevice

    Postaj  Nostradurus 19.05.15 23:11

    Kad napišem da srednja klasa mora tražiti savez sa radnicima i težiti smanjivanju socijalnih razlika, onda pišem nebuloze. A kada to kaže profesor Zoltan Pogatsa, onda je to dobro zapažanje. :-)

    >>Piketty, i ne samo on, pokazuje da tržište ne kreira srednju klasu. Ako se ostavi tržištu da to na liberalan način učini, ono samo pojačava razlike - stvara jedan sloj superbogatih, a ostali postaju vrlo siromašni. Skandinavski model je model namjernog jačanja srednje klase. To je važno za ekonomiju, jer srednja klasa na svojim ramenima nosi ekonomiju, a važno je i za demokraciju.
    ....
    Skandinavski model sačuvao je onu vrstu socijaldemokracije koja seže unazad do pedesetih, šezdesetih, sedamdesetih godina prošlog stoljeća i koju su neoliberali uništili. Ona nikad nije ni stigla do istočne Europe jer do vremena kada su oni ušli u tranziciju, socijalisti i socijaldemokrati su već postali liberali.<<

    http://www.tportal.hr/vijesti/svijet/381810/Razlozi-propadanja-europskih-socijaldemokrata-i-buducnost-nove-ljevice.html
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    • Post n°587

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    Postaj  Filipusis 24.05.15 22:15

    Milijarder poručio: "Nisu vam bogati krivi što ste siromašni"

    Jutarnji.hr   | 24. 05. 2015. - 12:32h | 
    Treći najbogatiji čovek na svetu prema Forbsovoj listi, američki investitor Voren Bafet, u komentaru koji je objavio ugledni "Volstrit džurnal", napisao je da bi za veliku nejednakost u primanjima u Americi trebalo prestati da se svaljuje krivica na bogataše.


    - Siromasi sasvim sigurno nisu siromašni zato što su bogataši bogati - napisao je Bafet koji je prema procenama "težak" 71,3 milijarde američkih dolara.
     

    Spominjući Henrija Forda i Stiva Džobsa kao primere inovatora, Bafet je naveo da i bogatašima treba odati priznanje jer je "većina njih američkoj ekonomiji dala briljantne inovacije ili upravljačku izvrsnost".
     
    Istovremeno, Bafet tvrdi da nejednakost u primanjima nije moguće smanjiti povećavanjem minimalca, što je trenutno veliko političko pitanje u Americi, ali ni metodama poput poboljšavanja kvaliteta obrazovanja.
     
    Njegovo rešenje je jačanje državnog programa poznatog po skraćenici EITC (Earned Income Tax Credit), a reč je o sniženju poreza po ostvarenom dohotku za radnike sa nižim primanjima. Bafetova je ideja da se program proširi na veći broj građana, čija bi se primanja s vremenom povećavala pa bi ukupan trošak ovog programa krenuo prema dole, a rezultat bi bio smanjenje nejednakosti.
     


    Prema njemu, povećanje nejednakosti je "neizbežna posledica" napredne tržišne ekonomije, a kaže i da je do razlika u platama došlo jer nije svako u stanju da radi isti posao.
     
    - Nema nikakve urote iza sledeće tužne činjenice: Siromasi sasvim sigurno nisu siromašni zato što su bogataši bogati. I nije istina da bogati nemaju zasluga. Većina njih je Ameriku poboljšala briljantnim inovacijama ili upravljačkom ekspertizom. Svi danas živimo kudikamo bolje zahvaljujući Henriju Fordu, Stivu Džobsu, Semu Voltonu i ljudima poput njih - napisao je Bafet.

    Izvor: Blic

    .......................................

    Eto, nema on nista sa tim...Njemu nije jasno zasto se vi bunite? Sami ste krivi ako radite sve vise za sve manje.
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 28.05.15 8:44

    Filipusis je napisao/la:
    Prema njemu, povećanje nejednakosti je "neizbežna posledica" napredne tržišne ekonomije, a kaže i da je do razlika u platama došlo jer nije svako u stanju da radi isti posao.
     
    .......................................

    Eto, nema on nista sa tim...Njemu nije jasno zasto se vi bunite? Sami ste krivi ako radite sve vise za sve manje.


    Eto, rekao je i istinu koju treba zapamtiti. Tržište vodi u socijalnu nejednakost tj. povećanje siromaštva. To znači da široke mase ne smiju podržavati tržišne principe kao društveno korisne. A HR ih ima upisane u Ustavu???
    U stvari, gore spomenutom rečenicom je sam sebe demantirao (naslov)??? Nisu krivi bogataši, nego tržišni principi u ekonomiji. Smile A naravno za iste se zalažu bogataši i ljudi kratke (društvene) pameti.
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    • Post n°589

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    Postaj  wiz 12.06.15 16:15

    guverner centralne banke makedonije je rekao da grcke banke u makedoniji ne mogu povlaciti gotovinu. i da su makedonske banke zasticene u slucaju izlaska grcke iz EU Rolling Eyes


    The bank runs (and capital controls) begin. Macedonia Central Bank Governor Bogov states:


    *GREEK BANKS IN MACEDONIA CAN’T WITHDRAW CASH: BOGOV
    *MACEDONIAN BANKS PROTECTED IN CASE OF GREXIT: BOGOV
    How long before the rest of Europe follows suit and a bank holiday is declared Monday to "Cyprus" depositors?


    He further added:


    *MACEDONIAN CENTRAL BANK SEES MAJOR RISKS FROM POLITICAL CRISIS
    Just to be clear, this withdrawal halt is protection against a worst case scenario... BUT, by imposing capital controls you are ASSURING a worst case scenario occurs!!

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-12/macedonia-central-bank-blocks-greek-bank-withdrawals-case-grexit

    Oni koji razumiju sto to znaci isto tako i razumiju zasto se to dogada. Oni koji ne razumiju...za njih je tako i tako svejedno. oni ce vidjeti
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    • Post n°590

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty grci su upravo proglasili sav dug nevazecim (odbor osnovan u parlamentu)

    Postaj  wiz 17.06.15 17:49

    Greek Debt Committee Just Declared All Debt To The Troika "Illegal, Illegitimate, And Odious"



    It was in April when we got a stark reminder of a post we first penned in April of 2011, describing Odious Debt, and why we thought sooner or later this legal term would become applicable for Greece, because two months ago Greek Zoi Konstantopoulou, speaker of the Greek parliament and a SYRIZA member, said she had established a new "Truth Committee on Public Debt" whose purposes was to "investigate how much of the debt is “illegal” with a view to writing it off."


    Moments ago, this committee released its preliminary findings, and here is the conclusion from the full report presented below:


    All the evidence we present in this report shows that Greece not only does not have the ability to pay this debt, but also should not pay this debt first and foremost because the debt emerging from the Troika’s arrangements is a direct infringement on the fundamental human rights of the residents of Greece. Hence, we came to the conclusion that Greece should not pay this debt because it is illegal, illegitimate, and odious.
    As we predicted over four years ago, Greece has effectively just declared that it will no longer have to default on its IMF (or any other debt - note that the dreaded "Troika" word finally makes an appearance after it was officially banned) simply because that debt was not legal to begin with, i.e. it was "odious."


    If so, this has just thrown a very unique wrench in the spokes of not only the Greek debt negotiations, but all other peripheral European nations' Greek negotiations, who will promptly demand that their debt be, likewise, declared odious, and made null and void, thus washing their hands of servicing it again.


    And another question: when Greece says the debt was illegal and it no longer has to make the June 30 payment, what will be the Troika's response: confiscate Greek assets a la Argentina, declare involutnary default, sue it in the Hague?


    Good luck.


    From the full just released report by the Hellenic Parliament commission:


    Hellenic Parliament’s Debt Truth Committee Preliminary Findings - Executive Summary of the report


    In June 2015 Greece stands at a crossroad of choosing between furthering the failed macroeconomic adjustment programmes imposed by the creditors or making a real change to break the chains of debt. Five years since the economic adjustment programmes began, the country remains deeply cemented in an economic, social, democratic and ecological crisis. The black box of debt has remained closed, and until now no authority, Greek or international, has sought to bring to light the truth about how and why Greece was subjected to the Troika regime. The debt, in whose name nothing has been spared, remains the rule through which neoliberal adjustment is imposed, and the deepest and longest recession experienced in Europe during peacetime.


    There is an immediate need and social responsibility to address a range of legal, social and economic issues that demand proper consideration. In response, the Hellenic Parliament established the Truth Committee on Public Debt in April 2015, mandating the investigation into the creation and growth of public debt, the way and reasons for which debt was contracted, and the impact that the conditionalities attached to the loans have had on the economy and the population. The Truth Committee has a mandate to raise awareness of issues pertaining to the Greek debt, both domestically and internationally, and to formulate arguments and options concerning the cancellation of the debt.


    The research of the Committee presented in this preliminary report sheds light on the fact that the entire adjustment programme, to which Greece has been subjugated, was and remains a politically orientated programme. The technical exercise surrounding macroeconomic variables and debt projections, figures directly relating to people’s lives and livelihoods, has enabled discussions around the debt to remain at a technical level mainly revolving around the argument that the policies imposed on Greece will improve its capacity to pay the debt back. The facts presented in this report challenge this argument.


    All the evidence we present in this report shows that Greece not only does not have the ability to pay this debt, but also should not pay this debt first and foremost because the debt emerging from the Troika’s arrangements is a direct infringement on the fundamental human rights of the residents of Greece. Hence, we came to the conclusion that Greece should not pay this debt because it is illegal, illegitimate, and odious.


    It has also come to the understanding of the Committee that the unsustainability of the Greek public debt was evident from the outset to the international creditors, the Greek authorities, and the corporate media. Yet, the Greek authorities, together with some other governments in the EU, conspired against the restructuring of public debt in 2010 in order to protect financial institutions. The corporate media hid the truth from the public by depicting a situation in which the bailout was argued to benefit Greece, whilst spinning a narrative intended to portray the population as deservers of their own wrongdoings.


    Bailout funds provided in both programmes of 2010 and 2012 have been externally managed through complicated schemes, preventing any fiscal autonomy. The use of the bailout money is strictly dictated by the creditors, and so, it is revealing that less than 10% of these funds have been destined to the government’s current expenditure.


    This preliminary report presents a primary mapping out of the key problems and issues associated with the public debt, and notes key legal violations associated with the contracting of the debt; it also traces out the legal foundations, on which unilateral suspension of the debt payments can be based. The findings are presented in nine chapters structured as follows:


    Chapter 1, Debt before the Troika, analyses the growth of the Greek public debt since the 1980s. It concludes that the increase in debt was not due to excessive public spending, which in fact remained lower than the public spending of other Eurozone countries, but rather due to the payment of extremely high rates of interest to creditors, excessive and unjustified military spending, loss of tax revenues due to illicit capital outflows, state recapitalization of private banks, and the international imbalances created via the flaws in the design of the Monetary Union itself.


    Adopting the euro led to a drastic increase of private debt in Greece to which major European private banks as well as the Greek banks were exposed. A growing banking crisis contributed to the Greek sovereign debt crisis. George Papandreou’s government helped to present the elements of a banking crisis as a sovereign debt crisis in 2009 by emphasizing and boosting the public deficit and debt. 


    Chapter 2, Evolution of Greek public debt during 2010-2015, concludes that the first loan agreement of 2010, aimed primarily to rescue the Greek and other European private banks, and to allow the banks to reduce their exposure to Greek government bonds.


    Chapter 3, Greek public debt by creditor in 2015, presents the contentious nature of Greece’s current debt, delineating the loans’ key characteristics, which are further analysed in Chapter 8.


    Chapter 4, Debt System Mechanism in Greece reveals the mechanisms devised by the agreements that were implemented since May 2010. They created a substantial amount of new debt to bilateral creditors and the European Financial Stability Fund (EFSF), whilst generating abusive costs thus deepening the crisis further. The mechanisms disclose how the majority of borrowed funds were transferred directly to financial institutions. Rather than benefitting Greece, they have accelerated the privatization process, through the use of financial instruments.


    Chapter 5, Conditionalities against sustainability, presents how the creditors imposed intrusive conditionalities attached to the loan agreements, which led directly to the economic unviability and unsustainability of debt. These conditionalities, on which the creditors still insist, have not only contributed to lower GDP as well as higher public borrowing, hence a higher public debt/GDP making Greece’s debt more unsustainable, but also engineered dramatic changes in the society, and caused a humanitarian crisis. The Greek public debt can be considered as totally unsustainable at present.


    Chapter 6, Impact of the “bailout programmes” on human rights, concludes that the measures implemented under the “bailout programmes” have directly affected living conditions of the people and violated human rights, which Greece and its partners are obliged to respect, protect and promote under domestic, regional and international law. The drastic adjustments, imposed on the Greek economy and society as a whole, have brought about a rapid deterioration of living standards, and remain incompatible with social justice, social cohesion, democracy and human rights.


    Chapter 7, Legal issues surrounding the MOU and Loan Agreements, argues there has been a breach of human rights obligations on the part of Greece itself and the lenders, that is the Euro Area (Lender) Member States, the European Commission, the European Central Bank, and theInternational Monetary Fund, who imposed these measures on Greece. All these actors failed to assess the human rights violations as an outcome of the policies they obliged Greece to pursue, and also directly violated the Greek constitution by effectively stripping Greece of most of its sovereign rights. The agreements contain abusive clauses, effectively coercing Greece to surrender significant aspects of its sovereignty. This is imprinted in the choice of the English law as governing law for those agreements, which facilitated the circumvention of the Greek Constitution and international human rights obligations. Conflicts with human rights and customary obligations, several indications of contracting parties acting in bad faith, which together with the unconscionable character of the agreements, render these agreements invalid.


    Chapter 8, Assessment of the Debts as regards illegtimacy, odiousness, illegality, and unsustainability, provides an assessment of the Greek public debt according to the definitions regarding illegitimate, odious, illegal, and unsustainable debt adopted by the Committee.


    Chapter 8 concludes that the Greek public debt as of June 2015 is unsustainable, since Greece is currently unable to service its debt without seriously impairing its capacity to fulfill its basic human rights obligations. Furthermore, for each creditor, the report provides evidence of indicative cases of illegal, illegitimate and odious debts.


    Debt to the IMF should be considered illegal since its concession breached the IMF’s own statutes, and its conditions breached the Greek Constitution, international customary law, and treaties to which Greece is a party. It is also illegitimate, since conditions included policy prescriptions that infringed human rights obligations. Finally, it is odious since the IMF knew that the imposed measures were undemocratic, ineffective, and would lead to serious violations of socio-economic rights.


    Debts to the ECB should be considered illegal since the ECB over-stepped its mandate by imposing the application of macroeconomic adjustment programs (e.g. labour market deregulation) via its participation in the Troïka. Debts to the ECB are also illegitimate and odious, since the principal raison d’etre of the Securities Market Programme (SMP) was to serve the interests of the financial institutions, allowing the major European and Greek private banks to dispose of their Greek bonds.


    The EFSF engages in cash-less loans which should be considered illegal because Article 122(2) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union (TFEU) was violated, and further they breach several socio-economic rights and civil liberties. Moreover, the EFSF Framework Agreement 2010 and the Master Financial Assistance Agreement of 2012 contain several abusive clauses revealing clear misconduct on the part of the lender. The EFSF also acts against democratic principles, rendering these particular debts illegitimate and odious.


    The bilateral loans should be considered illegal since they violate the procedure provided by the Greek constitution. The loans involved clear misconduct by the lenders, and had conditions that contravened law or public policy. Both EU law and international law were breached in order to sideline human rights in the design of the macroeconomic programmes. The bilateral loans are furthermore illegitimate, since they were not used for the benefit of the population, but merely enabled the private creditors of Greece to be bailed out. Finally, the bilateral loans are odious since the lender states and the European Commission knew of potential violations, but in 2010 and 2012 avoided to assess the human rights impacts of the macroeconomic adjustment and fiscal consolidation that were the conditions for the loans.


    The debt to private creditors should be considered illegal because private banks conducted themselves irresponsibly before the Troika came into being, failing to observe due diligence, while some private creditors such as hedge funds also acted in bad faith. Parts of the debts to private banks and hedge funds are illegitimate for the same reasons that they are illegal; furthermore, Greek banks were illegitimately recapitalized by tax-payers. Debts to private banks and hedge funds are odious, since major private creditors were aware that these debts were not incurred in the best interests of the population but rather for their own benefit.


    The report comes to a close with some practical considerations. Chapter 9, Legal foundations for repudiation and suspension of the Greek sovereign debt, presents the options concerning the cancellation of debt, and especially the conditions under which a sovereign state can exercise the right to unilateral act of repudiation or suspension of the payment of debt under international law.


    Several legal arguments permit a State to unilaterally repudiate its illegal, odious, and illegitimate debt. In the Greek case, such a unilateral act may be based on the following arguments: the bad faith of the creditors that pushed Greece to violate national law and international obligations related to human rights; preeminence of human rights over agreements such as those signed by previous governments with creditors or the Troika; coercion; unfair terms flagrantly violating Greek sovereignty and violating the Constitution; and finally, the right recognized in international law for a State to take countermeasures against illegal acts by its creditors , which purposefully damage its fiscal sovereignty, oblige it to assume odious, illegal and illegitimate debt, violate economic self-determination and fundamental human rights. As far as unsustainable debt is concerned, every state is legally entitled to invoke necessity in exceptional situations in order to safeguard those essential interests threatened by a grave and imminent peril. In such a situation, the State may be dispensed from the fulfilment of those international obligations that augment the peril, as is the case with outstanding loan contracts. Finally, states have the right to declare themselves unilaterally insolvent where the servicing of their debt is unsustainable, in which case they commit no wrongful act and hence bear no liability.


    People’s dignity is worth more than illegal, illegitimate, odious and unsustainable debt


    Having concluded a preliminary investigation, the Committee considers that Greece has been and still is the victim of an attack premeditated and organized by the International Monetary Fund, the European Central Bank, and the European Commission. This violent, illegal, and immoral mission aimed exclusively at shifting private debt onto the public sector.
    Making this preliminary report available to the Greek authorities and the Greek people, the Committee considers to have fulfilled the first part of its mission as defined in the decision of the President of Parliament of 4 April 2015. The Committee hopes that the report will be a useful tool for those who want to exit the destructive logic of austerity and stand up for what is endangered today: human rights, democracy, peoples’ dignity, and the future of generations to come.


    In response to those who impose unjust measures, the Greek people might invoke what Thucydides mentioned about the constitution of the Athenian people: "As for the name, it is called a democracy, for the administration is run with a view to the interests of the many, not of the few” (Pericles’ Funeral Oration, in the speech from Thucydides’ History of the Peloponnesian War).


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-17/greek-debt-committee-just-declared-all-debt-illegal-illegitimate-and-odious
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    • Post n°591

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    Postaj  wiz 19.06.15 21:29

    vec tjednima traje masovno povlacenje novca iz grckih banaka..sada je toliko postalo ocito da su redovi pred bankomatima

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-19/bank-holiday-preparations-begin-greece-lines-form-athens-atms

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 ATMLine2_0

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 ATMLines5_0
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    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Ivan Lovrinović

    Postaj  Nostradurus 25.06.15 15:08

    Ivan Lovrinović je podržao i Živi zid?

    http://www.dnevno.hr/novac/lovrinovic-ponavlja-se-devedeseta-narod-hoce-promjene-donijet-ce-ih-novi-pokret-810645

      Kako programa prof. Lovrinovića nema, nema se o čemu raspravljati.
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    • Post n°593

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    Postaj  wiz 27.06.15 2:15

    Grci su najavili referendum.

    Alfa banka je blokirala elektronicke transakcije do pondjeljka.

    Redovi pred bankomatima su sve veci

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-06-26/its-2-morning-and-greeks-are-lining-atms-alpha-limits-online-banking
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    Postaj  wiz 28.06.15 15:11

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 BpiowHi
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 29.06.15 16:13

    Izgleda da će bankomati biti suhi ovaj tjedan.
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    • Post n°596

    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty Obećaje se smanjenje poreza??

    Postaj  Nostradurus 29.06.15 16:26

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    Komentari vijesti - Page 23 Empty HDZ ima program ???

    Postaj  Nostradurus 29.06.15 20:54

    Ha, ha, čini se da HDZ navija za uvođenje Eura. 　 Koja debilana. Grčka ime euro i nije joj pomogao.

    http://www.dnevno.hr/vijesti/hrvatska/tri-kljucna-hdz-ova-ministra-gospodarski-plan-doznali-smo-imena-strategiju-811805
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    Postaj  Filipusis 01.07.15 14:00

    PREOKRET "Fajnenšel tajms": Cipras pristao na uslove EU i MMF-a

    Financial Times/I. H.   | 01. 07. 2015. - 11:23h  izmena vesti 13:37h 
    Grčki premijer Aleksis Cipras spreman je da, uz manje izuzetke, usvoji predloge međunarodnih kreditora iznete proteklog vikenda, što je potvrdio u pismu čiji je sadržaj objavio "Fajnenšel tajms". On je izneo detalje zahteva Grčke da joj se produži postojeći paket finansijske pomoći i odobri novi, u vrednosti od 29,1 milijardi evra.


    Cipras je spreman da prihvati većinu predloženih mera, poput ukidanja prevremene penzije, podizanja korporativnog poreza i rezanja vojnog budžeta.
     

    Zvanična Atina bi prihvatila i predloženu reformu sistema PDV-a, ali samo ako ostane na snazi poseban popust od 30 odsto za teritoriju teško pristupačnih ostrva.
     
    Još jedan izuzetak na kojem insistira Cipras jeste da pomeranje granice za odlazak u penziju na 67 godina počne da se primenjuje tek od oktobra 2022, a ne odmah, kako to zahtevaju kreditori.
     
    Još jedan izuzetak koji je Cipras predložio tiče se odobravanja pomoći za najsiromašnije penzionere, koja bi, prema njegovoj zamisli, bila postepeno ukinuta do decembra 2019.
     
    "Kao što možete da primetite, izmene koje zahtevamo su konkretne i u potpunosti poštuju kredibilnost uređenja sveobuhvatnog programa", naveo je predsednik grčke vlade u pismu kreditorima.
     
    Dokument na dve strane, poslat Evropskoj komisiji, MMF-u i Evropskoj centralnoj banci, mogao bi da posluži kao osnova za dobijanje novog paketa pomoći u narednom periodu, ocenjuje "Fajnenšel tajms".
     
    Ministri finansija evrozone razmotriće Ciprasov novi predlog u telefonskoj konferenciji u 17:30 časova po srednjeevropskom vremenu. Izvor iz evrozone je otkrio da su ministri nazvali pojedine odredbe predloga "teško prihvatljivim" za pojedine članice monetarne unije.
     

    Izvor: Blic
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