Hrvatski ekonomski preporod

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 Hrvatski ekonomski preporod

Foruma za novu ekonomsku politiku i blagostanje


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    Postaj  wiz 05.03.14 10:11

    9 bankara (za sad) a evo poceli su se ubijati i ovi koji rade sa virtualnim valutama.



    1 – William Broeksmit, 58-year-old former senior executive at Deutsche Bank AG, was found dead in his home after an apparent suicide in South Kensington in central London, on January 26th.
     
    2- Karl Slym, 51 year old Tata Motors managing director Karl Slym, was found dead on the fourth floor of the Shangri-La hotel in Bangkok on January 27th.
     
    3 – Gabriel Magee, a 39-year-old JP Morgan employee, died after falling from the roof of the JP Morgan European headquarters in London on January 27th.
     
    4 – Mike Dueker, 50-year-old chief economist of a US investment bank was found dead close to the Tacoma Narrows Bridge in Washington State.
     
    5 – Richard Talley, the 57 year old founder of American Title Services in Centennial, Colorado, was found dead earlier this month after apparently shooting himself with a nail gun.
     
    6 -Tim Dickenson, a U.K.-based communications director at Swiss Re AG, also died last month, however the circumstances surrounding his death are still unknown.
     
    7 – Ryan Henry Crane, a 37 year old executive at JP Morgan died in an alleged suicide just a few weeks ago.  No details have been released about his death aside from this small obituary announcement at the Stamford Daily Voice.
     
    8 - Li Junjie, 33-year-old banker in Hong Kong jumped from the JP Morgan HQ in Hong Kong this week.
     
    9 - James Stuart Jr., a "very successful banker" and Former National Bank of Commerce CEO found dead (with no details of what caused the death) in Scottsdale, Az.



    The last few weeks have been dismally littered with two things. The virtual losses of virtual wealth from virtual currency speculation and the very real losses of very real humans with very real senior financial services positions. Sadly, as NewsWatch reports, tonight sees the two trends converge as the 28-year-old CEO of Singapore-based Bitcoin exchange First Meta has been found dead. The exact reason that may have led to the suicide is not known, and whether the Police have concluded that the cause of death is suicide is also unofficial.


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-04/bitcoin-claims-its-first-real-victim
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    Postaj  Filipusis 06.03.14 8:00

    http://www.kurir-info.rs/vlada-srbije-dobijamo-milijardu-dolara-od-emirata-clanak-1259777

    Ako niste znali, u Srbiji su uskoro parlamentarni izbori  Very Happy  S tim u vezi:


    Dobijamo milijardu dolara od Emirata!

    POLITIKA18:44, 05.03.2014.editirano: 19:03, 05.03.2014.Autor: Katarina Blagović,Foto: Fonet
      

    Vlada Srbije jednoglasno je usvojila zaključak o prihvatanju zajma. Kredit prihvaćen uz kamatnu stopu od simboličnih dva odsto
    Aleksandar Vučić, fonet
    BEOGRAD - Stižu dolari.
    Vlada Srbije u sredu veče je jednoglasno usvojila zaključak o prihvatanju zajma od Ujedinjenih Arapskih Emirata u iznosu od milijardu dolara.



    Prema rečima ministra finansija Lazara Krstića, Srbija će na ovaj način, na godišnjem nivou, uštedeti po 40 miliona dolara, odnosno oko 400 miliona dolara za deset godina.

    - U današnjem novcu to je bukvalno kao poklon, kao da je neko dao taj novac iz džepa. Ovo je dobar signal međunarodnoj zajednici i investitorima da Srbija ima kredibilitet - istakao je ministar finansija.

    Krstić je naveo da je zajam prihvaćen uz kamatnu stopu od dva odsto i rok dospeća od deset godina.

    - Glavnica se ne otplaćuje do kraja perioda, što znači da postoji grejs period od deset godina na glavnicu - kazao je Krstić i dodao da će novac biti prebačen u jednoj tranši onog momenta kada kada Skupština ratifikuje kredit, verovatno početkom drugog kvartala 2014. 

    Ministar je naveo i da ne postoje uslovi za trošenje novca i da se razmatraju najbolje opcije, pre svega da li postoji prostor da se neki od skupih kredita refinansira.

    - Deo novca omogućiće nam da uspostavimo ekonomsku politiku koja će nam pomoći da prebrodimo socijalni efekat krize i damo zamajac stranim i domaćim investitorima - kazao je Krstić, kao i da na ovakve poteze ne treba gledati s dozom sumnje jer proizilaze iz dobrih političkih odnosa dve vlade.

    - I ja sam bio skeptičan, ali sada, sa ove pozicije, vidim da svega toga ne bi bilo da ne postoji poseban odnos između dveju vlada - istakao je Krstić.

    Aleksandar Vuči zahvalio je na pomoći koju su pružili za sklapanje ovog aranžmana pre svega predsedniku Tomislavu Nikoliću, premijeru Ivici Dačiću, a zatim i svim članovima vlade i ministru Krstiću.

    - Završili smo sve uslove ugovora i dobijamo milijardu dolara na deset godina po dva odsto kamate - rekao je Vučić.

    Danas potpisivanje

    Ministar Krstić će ugovor o kreditu potpisati danas u Abu Dabiju. Budžetom Srbije za ovu godinu predviđen je kredit od tri milijarde evra iz UAE kao podrška, kao i 275 miliona dolara za podršku projektima u poljoprivredi, što bi trebalo da stigne od Fonda za razvoj Abu Dabija.


    DOSLEDNI U OBEĆANJIMA

    Ministar Krstić kaže da bi novac trebalo da bude operativan pošto ugovor ratifikuje Skupština Srbije.
    - Kredit je značajan zbog toga što pokazuje doslednost u obećanjima koja su data i pokazuje da saradnja sa UAE na svim poljima napreduje - rekao je ministar finansija.
    .................................................................


    Znaci ovako....ministar kaze da je odraz saradnje i uspeha izmedju dve drzave to sto jedna od te dve drzave daje kredit drugoj  Shocked  Do duse, ovaj kredit je povoljniji, sa samo 2% kamate  Rolling Eyes 
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 06.03.14 18:15

    Filipusis je napisao/la:Znaci ovako....ministar kaze da je odraz saradnje i uspeha izmedju dve drzave to sto jedna od te dve drzave daje kredit drugoj  Shocked  Do duse, ovaj kredit je povoljniji, sa samo 2% kamate  Rolling Eyes 

      UAR i Izrael su vodeći saveznici Amera na bliskom istoku. Tko sa vragom tikve sadi, iznenaditi će se što će iz toga niknuti.
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 13.03.14 19:11

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    Postaj  wiz 19.03.14 22:27

    The truth is out: money is just an IOU, and the banks are rolling in it


    The Bank of England's dose of honesty throws the theoretical basis for austerity out the window


    Back in the 1930s, Henry Ford is supposed to have remarked that it was a good thing that most Americans didn't know how banking really works, because if they did, "there'd be a revolution before tomorrow morning".
    Last week, something remarkable happened. The Bank of England let the cat out of the bag. In a paper called "Money Creation in the Modern Economy", co-authored by three economists from the Bank's Monetary Analysis Directorate, they stated outright that most common assumptions of how banking works are simply wrong, and that the kind of populist, heterodox positions more ordinarily associated with groups such as Occupy Wall Street are correct. In doing so, they have effectively thrown the entire theoretical basis for austerity out of the window.
    To get a sense of how radical the Bank's new position is, consider the conventional view, which continues to be the basis of all respectable debate on public policy. People put their money in banks. Banks then lend that money out at interest – either to consumers, or to entrepreneurs willing to invest it in some profitable enterprise. True, the fractional reserve system does allow banks to lend out considerably more than they hold in reserve, and true, if savings don't suffice, private banks can seek to borrow more from the central bank.
    The central bank can print as much money as it wishes. But it is also careful not to print too much. In fact, we are often told this is why independent central banks exist in the first place. If governments could print money themselves, they would surely put out too much of it, and the resulting inflation would throw the economy into chaos. Institutions such as the Bank of England or US Federal Reserve were created to carefully regulate the money supply to prevent inflation. This is why they are forbidden to directly fund the government, say, by buying treasury bonds, but instead fund private economic activity that the government merely taxes.
    It's this understanding that allows us to continue to talk about money as if it were a limited resource like bauxite or petroleum, to say "there's just not enough money" to fund social programmes, to speak of the immorality of government debt or of public spending "crowding out" the private sector. What the Bank of England admitted this week is that none of this is really true. To quote from its own initial summary: "Rather than banks receiving deposits when households save and then lending them out, bank lending creates deposits" … "In normal times, the central bank does not fix the amount of money in circulation, nor is central bank money 'multiplied up' into more loans and deposits."
    In other words, everything we know is not just wrong – it's backwards. When banks make loans, they create money. This is because money is really just an IOU. The role of the central bank is to preside over a legal order that effectively grants banks the exclusive right to create IOUs of a certain kind, ones that the government will recognise as legal tender by its willingness to accept them in payment of taxes. There's really no limit on how much banks could create, provided they can find someone willing to borrow it. They will never get caught short, for the simple reason that borrowers do not, generally speaking, take the cash and put it under their mattresses; ultimately, any money a bank loans out will just end up back in some bank again. So for the banking system as a whole, every loan just becomes another deposit. What's more, insofar as banks do need to acquire funds from the central bank, they can borrow as much as they like; all the latter really does is set the rate of interest, the cost of money, not its quantity. Since the beginning of the recession, the US and British central banks have reduced that cost to almost nothing. In fact, with "quantitative easing" they've been effectively pumping as much money as they can into the banks, without producing any inflationary effects.
    What this means is that the real limit on the amount of money in circulation is not how much the central bank is willing to lend, but how much government, firms, and ordinary citizens, are willing to borrow. Government spending is the main driver in all this (and the paper does admit, if you read it carefully, that the central bank does fund the government after all). So there's no question of public spending "crowding out" private investment. It's exactly the opposite.
    Why did the Bank of England suddenly admit all this? Well, one reason is because it's obviously true. The Bank's job is to actually run the system, and of late, the system has not been running especially well. It's possible that it decided that maintaining the fantasy-land version of economics that has proved so convenient to the rich is simply a luxury it can no longer afford.
    But politically, this is taking an enormous risk. Just consider what might happen if mortgage holders realised the money the bank lent them is not, really, the life savings of some thrifty pensioner, but something the bank just whisked into existence through its possession of a magic wand which we, the public, handed over to it.
    Historically, the Bank of England has tended to be a bellwether, staking out seeming radical positions that ultimately become new orthodoxies. If that's what's happening here, we might soon be in a position to learn if Henry Ford was right.


    http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/mar/18/truth-money-iou-bank-of-england-austerity?CMP=fb_gu
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    Postaj  wiz 21.03.14 0:23

    According To A Nasa Funded Study, We're Pretty Much Screwed

    Our industrial civilization faces the same threats of collapse that earlier versions such as the Mayans experienced, a study to be published in Ecological Economics has warned. The idea is far from new, but the authors have put new rigor to the study of how so many previous societies collapsed, and why ours could follow.

    Lead author Mr Safa Motesharrei is no wild-eyed conspiracy theorist. Motesharrei is a graduate student in mathematics at the National Socio-Environmental Synthesis Center, a National Science Foundation-supported institution, and the research was done with funding from NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center.

    "The fall of the Roman Empire, and the equally (if not more) advanced Han, Mauryan, and Gupta Empires, as well as so many advanced Mesopotamian Empires, are all testimony to the fact that advanced, sophisticated, complex, and creative civilizations can be both fragile and impermanent," the forthcoming paper states

    Two key social features are identified that contributed to the collapse of every civilization studied: “The stretching of resources due to the strain placed on the ecological carrying capacity," and "The economic stratification of society into Elites [rich] and Masses (or "Commoners") [poor]".

    If these look familiar, so do the factors that make up the resource side of the equation, with climatic change, and scarcity of water and energy key among them, although for others climate variation was a matter of bad luck, rather than their own actions.

    The model Motesharrei used, Human And Nature Dynamics (HANDY), explores the relationship between population and resources, drawing heavily on predator-prey models used by ecologists. Four key factors were included in the model: Elites, Commoners, nature and wealth. Equations of how these interact were created with varying inputs. The outcomes were not pretty. The timing and shape of collapses varied, but the societies that most closely resembled our own doomed themselves, through overuse of resources exacerbated by economic stratification.

    In one scenario many commoners do make it into the elite population at year 750, but the “scarcity of workers” caused a collapse by year 1000. In another so many of the Earth's resources are consumed that society, and the ecology of the planet, are doomed by the year 500.

    “It is important to note that in both of these scenarios, the Elites — due to their wealth — do not suffer the detrimental effects of the environmental collapse until much later than the Commoners,” the paper notes.

    If those year numbers seem comfortingly far off, be aware that the year zero in these models is well behind us. Nevertheless, contrary to much of the reporting, the model does not provide a useful timeline for when we can expect to see the world we live in turn into something that resembles a post-apocalyptic nightmare, although studies of the convergence of climate and resource challenges suggest we may witness drastic food crises within a little over a decade.

    In every economic bubble people looking back to past crashes are told “this time it is different”. Certainly some things have changed for modern civilization compared to the others Motesharrei has looked at. Technological developments that provide access to greater resources is the most frequently mentioned difference. Motesharrei responds, “Technological change can raise the efficiency of resource use, but it also tends to raise both per capita resource consumption and the scale of resource extraction, so that, absent policy effects, the increases in consumption often compensate for the increased efficiency of resource use.”

    One advantage we do have, however, is much greater knowledge of what has gone wrong in the past, and therefore the capacity to build models like HANDY. In a presentation of an earlier draft of this work in 2012 Motesharrei noted, “Simple models provide a great intuition and can teach us invaluable points. It is crucial to have a measure that can give us an early warning of collapse. Carrying Capacity tells us when overshoot happens, and this can be defined by noticing the decline in wealth.”

    Some coverage of the announcement has described disaster as inevitable, but that is not the paper's conclusion at all. “Collapse can be avoided and population can reach equilibrium if the per capita rate of depletion of nature is reduced to a sustainable level, and if resources are distributed in a reasonably equitable fashion,” it argues.

    Although the study has reportedly passed peer review it is yet to be published. It received global attention after a pre-release version was provided to The Guardian.

    http://www.iflscience.com/environment/according-nasa-funded-study-were-pretty-much-screwed#cWych02cH9mk6Tm6.16


    Zadnja promjena: wiz; 21.03.14 0:25; ukupno mijenjano 1 put.
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    Postaj  wiz 21.03.14 0:25

    Former BP geologist: peak oil is here and it will 'break economies'

    Industry expert warns of grim future of 'recession' driven 'resource wars' at University College London lecture

    A former British Petroleum (BP) geologist has warned that the age of cheap oil is long gone, bringing with it the danger of "continuous recession" and increased risk of conflict and hunger.

    At a lecture on 'Geohazards' earlier this month as part of the postgraduate Natural Hazards for Insurers course at University College London (UCL), Dr. Richard G. Miller, who worked for BP from 1985 before retiring in 2008, said that official data from the International Energy Agency (IEA), US Energy Information Administration (EIA), International Monetary Fund (IMF), among other sources, showed that conventional oil had most likely peaked around 2008.

    Dr. Miller critiqued the official industry line that global reserves will last 53 years at current rates of consumption, pointing out that "peaking is the result of declining production rates, not declining reserves." Despite new discoveries and increasing reliance on unconventional oil and gas, 37 countries are already post-peak, and global oil production is declining at about 4.1% per year, or 3.5 million barrels a day (b/d) per year:

    "We need new production equal to a new Saudi Arabia every 3 to 4 years to maintain and grow supply... New discoveries have not matched consumption since 1986. We are drawing down on our reserves, even though reserves are apparently climbing every year. Reserves are growing due to better technology in old fields, raising the amount we can recover – but production is still falling at 4.1% p.a. [per annum]."

    Dr. Miller, who prepared annual in-house projections of future oil supply for BP from 2000 to 2007, refers to this as the "ATM problem" – "more money, but still limited daily withdrawals." As a consequence: "Production of conventional liquid oil has been flat since 2008. Growth in liquid supply since then has been largely of natural gas liquids [NGL]- ethane, propane, butane, pentane - and oil-sand bitumen."

    Dr. Miller is co-editor of a special edition of the prestigious journal, Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A, published this month on the future of oil supply. In an introductory paper co-authored with Dr. Steve R. Sorrel, co-director of the Sussex Energy Group at the University of Sussex in Brighton, they argue that among oil industry experts "there is a growing consensus that the era of cheap oil has passed and that we are entering a new and very different phase." They endorse the conservative conclusions of an extensive earlier study by the government-funded UK Energy Research Centre (UKERC):

    "... a sustained decline in global conventional production appears probable before 2030 and there is significant risk of this beginning before 2020... on current evidence the inclusion of tight oil [shale oil] resources appears unlikely to significantly affect this conclusion, partly because the resource base appears relatively modest."

    In fact, increasing dependence on shale could worsen decline rates in the long run:

    "Greater reliance upon tight oil resources produced using hydraulic fracturing will exacerbate any rising trend in global average decline rates, since these wells have no plateau and decline extremely fast - for example, by 90% or more in the first 5 years."

    Tar sands will fare similarly, they conclude, noting that "the Canadian oil sands will deliver only 5 mb per day by 2030, which represents less than 6% of the IEA projection of all-liquids production by that date."

    Despite the cautious projection of global peak oil "before 2020", they also point out that:

    "Crude oil production grew at approximately 1.5% per year between 1995 and 2005, but then plateaued with more recent increases in liquids supply largely deriving from NGLs, oil sands and tight oil. These trends are expected to continue... Crude oil production is heavily concentrated in a small number of countries and a small number of giant fields, with approximately 100 fields producing one half of global supply, 25 producing one quarter and a single field (Ghawar in Saudi Arabia) producing approximately 7%. Most of these giant fields are relatively old, many are well past their peak of production, most of the rest seem likely to enter decline within the next decade or so and few new giant fields are expected to be found."

    "The final peak is going to be decided by the price - how much can we afford to pay?", Dr. Miller told me in an interview about his work. "If we can afford to pay $150 per barrel, we could certainly produce more given a few years of lead time for new developments, but it would break economies again."

    Miller argues that for all intents and purposes, peak oil has arrived as conditions are such that despite volatility, prices can never return to pre-2004 levels:

    "The oil price has risen almost continuously since 2004 to date, starting at $30. There was a great spike to $150 and then a collapse in 2008/2009, but it has since climbed to $110 and held there. The price rise brought a lot of new exploration and development, but these new fields have not actually increased production by very much, due to the decline of older fields. This is compatible with the idea that we are pretty much at peak today. This recession is what peak feels like."

    Although he is dismissive of shale oil and gas' capacity to prevent a peak and subsequent long decline in global oil production, Miller recognises that there is still some leeway that could bring significant, if temporary dividends for US economic growth - though only as "a relatively short-lived phenomenon":

    "We're like a cage of lab rats that have eaten all the cornflakes and discovered that you can eat the cardboard packets too. Yes, we can, but... Tight oil may reach 5 or even 6 million b/d in the US, which will hugely help the US economy, along with shale gas. Shale resources, though, are inappropriate for more densely populated countries like the UK, because the industrialisation of the countryside affects far more people (with far less access to alternative natural space), and the economic benefits are spread more thinly across more people. Tight oil production in the US is likely to peak before 2020. There absolutely will not be enough tight oil production to replace the US' current 9 million b/d of imports."

    In turn, by prolonging global economic recession, high oil prices may reduce demand. Peak demand in turn may maintain a longer undulating oil production plateau:

    "We are probably in peak oil today, or at least in the foot-hills. Production could rise a little for a few years yet, but not sufficiently to bring the price down; alternatively, continuous recession in much of the world may keep demand essentially flat for years at the $110/bbl price we have today. But we can't grow the supply at average past rates of about 1.5% per year at today's prices."

    The fundamental dependence of global economic growth on cheap oil supplies suggests that as we continue into the age of expensive oil and gas, without appropriate efforts to mitigate the impacts and transition to a new energy system, the world faces a future of economic and geopolitical turbulence:

    "In the US, high oil prices correlate with recessions, although not all recessions correlate with high oil prices. It does not prove causation, but it is highly likely that when the US pays more than 4% of its GDP for oil, or more than 10% of GDP for primary energy, the economy declines as money is sucked into buying fuel instead of other goods and services... A shortage of oil will affect everything in the economy. I expect more famine, more drought, more resource wars and a steady inflation in the energy cost of all commodities."

    According to another study in the Royal Society journal special edition by professor David J. Murphy of Northern Illinois University, an expert in the role of energy in economic growth, the energy return on investment (EROI) for global oil and gas production - the amount of energy produced compared to the amount of energy invested to get, deliver and use that energy - is roughly 15 and declining. For the US, EROI of oil and gas production is 11 and declining; and for unconventional oil and biofuels is largely less than 10. The problem is that as EROI decreases, energy prices increase. Thus, Murphy concludes:

    "... the minimum oil price needed to increase the oil supply in the near term is at levels consistent with levels that have induced past economic recessions. From these points, I conclude that, as the EROI of the average barrel of oil declines, long-term economic growth will become harder to achieve and come at an increasingly higher financial, energetic and environmental cost."

    Current EROI in the US, Miller said, is simply "not enough to support the US infrastructure, even if America was self-sufficient, without raising production even further than current consumption."

    In their introduction to their collection of papers in the Royal Society journal, Miller and Sorrell point out that "most authors" in the special edition "accept that conventional oil resources are at an advanced stage of depletion and that liquid fuels will become more expensive and increasingly scarce." The shale revolution can provide only "short-term relief", but is otherwise "unlikely to make a significant difference in the longer term."

    They call for a "coordinated response" to this challenge to mitigate the impact, including "far-reaching changes in global transport systems." While "climate-friendly solutions to 'peak oil' are available" they caution, these will be neither "easy" nor "quick", and imply a model of economic development that accepts lower levels of consumption and mobility.

    In his interview with me, Richard Miller was particularly critical of the UK government's policies, including abandoning large-scale wind farm projects, the reduction of feed-in tariffs for renewable energy, and support for shale gas. "The government will do anything for the short-term economic bounce," he said, "but the consequence will be that the UK is tied more tightly to an oil-based future, and we will pay dearly for it."

    Dr Nafeez Ahmed is executive director of the Institute for Policy Research & Development and author of A User's Guide to the Crisis of Civilisation: And How to Save It among other books. Follow him on Twitter @nafeezahmed

    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/earth-insight/2013/dec/23/british-petroleum-geologist-peak-oil-break-economy-recession
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    Postaj  wiz 21.03.14 0:34

    Dakle, u ova zadnja 3 clanka je navedeno:

    Engleska banka (kao kod nas HNB) je rekla da se novac stvara kreditom. Sto potvrduje da je premisa ovog crtica tocna



    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KyDU4X8GSmE

    Britanska kraljevska akademija (royal society) je potvrdilo da je peak oil (vrhunac crpljenja nafte) prosao

    a NASA je napravila istrazivanje u kojem je potvrdeno da smo u kolapsu civilizacije.

    Znaci, najveci autoriteti (ajmo tako reci) na podrucjima sa kojima se bave potvrduju da je ovo tocno

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    Postaj  Filipusis 21.03.14 11:46

    http://www.blic.rs/Vesti/Ekonomija/451328/Javni-dug-Srbije-204-milijarde-evra-ili-629-odsto-BDPa



    Javni dug Srbije 20,4 milijarde evra ili 62,9 odsto BDP-a

    Ministarstvo finansija objavilo je danas da je javni dug Srbije u februaru ove godine povećan za 178 miliona evra i dostigao je oko 20,4 milijardi evra ili 62,9 odsto bruto domaćeg proizvoda (BDP).
    Ministarstvo finansija

    Poređenja radi, javni dug Srbije na kraju 2013. godine iznosio je 20,089 milijardi evra ili 61,2 odsto BDP, a prema Zakonu o budžetskom sistemu učešće javnog duga Srbije u BDP je ograničeno na 45 odsto.

    Na kraju februara 2014. godine direktne obaveze države iznosile su 17,6 milijardi, a indirektne 2,794 milijarde evra.

    Prema zvaničnim podacima, javni dug Srbije na kraju 2000. godine bio oko 14,2 milijardi evra ili što je tada iznosilo 169,3 odsto BDP, a od tada on je smanjivan do kraja 2008. godine na oko 8,78 milijardi evra (29,2 odsto BDP). 
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 24.03.14 16:40

    Filipusis je napisao/la:http://www.blic.rs/Vesti/Ekonomija/451328/Javni-dug-Srbije-204-milijarde-evra-ili-629-odsto-BDPa



    Javni dug Srbije 20,4 milijarde evra ili 62,9 odsto BDP-a

    Ministarstvo finansija objavilo je danas da je javni dug Srbije u februaru ove godine povećan za 178 miliona evra i dostigao je oko 20,4 milijardi evra ili 62,9 odsto bruto domaćeg proizvoda (BDP).
    Ministarstvo finansija

    Poređenja radi, javni dug Srbije na kraju 2013. godine iznosio je 20,089 milijardi evra ili 61,2 odsto BDP, a prema Zakonu o budžetskom sistemu učešće javnog duga Srbije u BDP je ograničeno na 45 odsto.

    Na kraju februara 2014. godine direktne obaveze države iznosile su 17,6 milijardi, a indirektne 2,794 milijarde evra.

    Prema zvaničnim podacima, javni dug Srbije na kraju 2000. godine bio oko 14,2 milijardi evra ili što je tada iznosilo 169,3 odsto BDP, a od tada on je smanjivan do kraja 2008. godine na oko 8,78 milijardi evra (29,2 odsto BDP). 

       Trend nije baš dobar. 0,31 milijarda eura za 2 mjeseca. Godišnja projekcija je 1,85 milijardi eura povećanja. A toliko bi trebalo smanjivati. Znači da Srbiji fali 3,6 milijardi eura godišnje!
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 24.03.14 17:29

    A kako će privatne investicije biti isplative? Tek kada uloženi novac donese profit i vrati ulog. A od kuda će doći novac za profit? Hajmo genijalci iz HNB-a. Od kuda?

    http://www.business.hr/ekonomija/vujcic-vjerovanje-da-ce-javne-investicije-ostvariti-oporavak-pokazalo-se-iluzijom
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    Postaj  Filipusis 25.03.14 15:59

    Nostradurus je napisao/la:A kako će privatne investicije biti isplative? Tek kada uloženi novac donese profit i vrati ulog. A od kuda će doći novac za profit? Hajmo genijalci iz HNB-a. Od kuda?

    http://www.business.hr/ekonomija/vujcic-vjerovanje-da-ce-javne-investicije-ostvariti-oporavak-pokazalo-se-iluzijom
    Od kuda? Od novog duga ili od teranja "druge" strane u gubitke...

    Nego Nostradurus, hteo sam nesto drugo da pitam: Kako tumacite to sto i pored ove krize sa Ukrajinom berze beleze rast, kako ruske tako i americke i evropske i to vise od 1%? Smile
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 25.03.14 19:31

    Filipusis je napisao/la:
    Nostradurus je napisao/la:A kako će privatne investicije biti isplative? Tek kada uloženi novac donese profit i vrati ulog. A od kuda će doći novac za profit? Hajmo genijalci iz HNB-a. Od kuda?

    http://www.business.hr/ekonomija/vujcic-vjerovanje-da-ce-javne-investicije-ostvariti-oporavak-pokazalo-se-iluzijom
    Od kuda? Od novog duga ili od teranja "druge" strane u gubitke...

    Nego Nostradurus, hteo sam nesto drugo da pitam: Kako tumacite to sto i pored ove krize sa Ukrajinom berze beleze rast, kako ruske tako i americke i evropske i to vise od 1%? Smile


    Nisam stručnjak za burzu. Rat je ionako nekome prilika za zaradu.
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    Postaj  wiz 27.03.14 1:33

    Filipusis je napisao/la:

    Nego Nostradurus, hteo sam nesto drugo da pitam: Kako tumacite to sto i pored ove krize sa Ukrajinom berze beleze rast, kako ruske tako i americke i evropske i to vise od 1%? Smile

    To je umjetni rast kada prebacuju novac iz "emerging markets" na glavne burze jer su prestali sa QE-om i poceli sa taperingom.

    emerging market


    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emerging_markets


    Quantitative easing (QE)


    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantitative_easing


    Definition of 'Tapering'

    http://www.investopedia.com/terms/t/tapering.asp

    A veci dio toga rasta je tako i nastao zahvaljujuci HFT-u

    HFT

    http://www.zerohedge.com/taxonomy/term/140

    ovo su video materijali koji objasnjavaju HFT



    ovaj bi definitivno predlozio da pogledate 



    i ovaj je dobar



    A ruska burza je padala prvih dana

    Russia's Stock Market Falls

    http://www.businessinsider.com/russias-micex-index-falls-2014-3

    Ukraine crisis sends Russian stock market tumbling

    £34bn wiped off shares listed in Moscow as investors respond to Russia's intervention in Crimea

    http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/mar/03/ukraine-crisis-russian-stock-market-falls



    Onda su rusi povecali kamate na obveznice

    Russian Stocks Crash As Central Bank Scrambles, Hikes Rates Most Since 1998 Default

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-03/russian-stocks-crash-central-bank-scrambles-hikes-rates-most-1998-default

    i sad su stabilizirali burzu. Iako, "zapadni" investitori su vrlo malo izlozeni na ruskoj burzi a i ruska burza je sama po sebi dosta mala i sa malim prometom u odnosu na druge.

    Pratite kinu..tamo su poceli defaulti Wink

    A kad smo kod toga..i "zapadni" investitori su se povukli iz rusije i rusi su se povukli sa "zpadnih" burzi

    The Russians Have Already Quietly Pulled Their Money From The West

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-14/russians-have-already-quietly-pulled-their-money-west

    Ekonomski rat je u punom zamahu
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    Postaj  wiz 27.03.14 22:12

    a kad smo vec kod rasta burze..primjecujete li neke (ajmo reci) nepravilnosti na ovom grafu ?

    Dionice rastu..previdenja GDP (BDP - bruto drustvenog proizvoda) padaju. Kako je moguce da sve manje (svijet) proizvodimo a dionice stalno rastu ?

    Zar ne rastu dionice kad raste proizvodnja ?

    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 20140327_WTF_0

    The economic growth expectations for the world in 2014 just plunged to fresh lows at a mere 2.78% - that is 15% "less" growth than was expected a year ago. The world's equity markets are up 25% "more" than at the start of 2013. Thus, our dysfunctional dystopian world where 'less' economic growth is 'more' wealth-creating. Long live the central bank utopia...


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-03-27/picturing-our-dystopian-world-where-less-more
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    Postaj  wiz 30.03.14 3:54

    Dakle, ekonomisti su znali da ce ovakva ekonomska politika dovesti do ovakvog rezultata. Ovo je sve unaprijed isplanirano i znao se rezultat.


    "Građanima je objašnjeno da se tzv. pretvorbom vlasništva jedino može doći do povećanja proizvodnje, zaposlenosti itd. A znalo se da će to dovesti do pada proizvodnje, velike nezaposlenosti, pada životnog standarda, pada nacionalne produktivnosti, ukratko, do razaranja privrede. Usprkos tektonskim poremećajima, nije provedena nikakva stručna rasprava. A to nije bilo ni potrebno. Pravi cilj bio je prigrabiti političku moć i omogućiti bogaćenje malog broja 'podobnih' pojedinaca - 200 obitelji, kako bi rekao Tuđman. I taj je cilj apsolutno postignut. Stvoreni su tajkuni i politička oligarhija. Od nekadašnjeg maksimalnog raspona dohotka od 1:10 stvoren je raspon 1:100. To znači da sada neki pojedinci godišnje zarađuju više nego 99 posto građana za cijelog života. O stotinama tisuća nezaposlenih da i ne govorim", napisao je Horvat u svojoj posljednjoj knjizi Kakvu državu imamo, a kakvu državu trebamo.


    http://www.h-alter.org/vijesti/kultura/branko-horvat-24-srpnja-1928-18-prosinca-2003
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    Postaj  wiz 06.04.14 12:42

    Jos jedan bankar je mrtav i cijela njegova obitelj je ubijena zajedno sa njim. Mrtva usta ne govore  Wink 

    Ja bi na mjestu bankara sada poceo razmisljati o prezivljavanju






    Former ABN Amro Group NV Netherlands Chief Executive Officer Jan Peter Schmittmann, his wife and a daughter were found dead at their home today after a possible “family tragedy,” Dutch police said.
     
    “The bodies of a father and mother and their daughter were found at the property” in the town of Laren, 32 kilometers (20 miles) southeast of Amsterdam, Dutch police said in a statement on their website today. Leonie Bosselaar, a police spokeswoman, said in a telephone call with Bloomberg News that the deceased were Schmittmann and two family members.
     
    The police received a call around 10:30 a.m. local time from a family acquaintance who said something may be wrong at the property, according to the statement. Bosselaar declined to comment further on what may have happened.
     
    The Dutch newspaper AD reported, without citing anyone, that the family was discovered by Schmittmann’s second daughter when she arrived home this morning. She was scheduled to travel to India with her parents, where she had an internship lined up, the newspaper said.
     
    Schmittmann, 57, joined ABN Amro in 1983 as assistant relationship manager and was named head of the lender’s Dutch unit in 2003. He stepped down from the Amsterdam-based bank in December 2008, after the company was nationalized earlier that year.


    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2014-04-05/former-abn-banker-schmittmann-wife-daughter-found-dead-at-home.html



    vise na linku 


    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-05/abn-amro-ex-ceo-found-dead
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    Postaj  wiz 07.04.14 1:17

    ukrajina..tri grada traze referendum.. ovo je hrakov



    I to ce se prosiriti..rusi su povecali cijenu plina sto za istocnu ukrajinu znaci potpuno ekonomsko unistenje. A IMF uvodi svoje mjere "stednje" koje su vam svima poznate kao i njihovi rezultati. 

    A iran i amerika su potpisali trgocinski sporazum kojim mijenjaju naftu za robu i izbjegavaju americki dolar..sad pocinje val dolara koji sve manje i manje vrijede ici prema americkom trzistu 

    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 CartoonHokusaiWaveDebtRamirez


    a burza se prvi put nije oporavila i krenula prema gore nego je pala

    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 20140404_EOD8_0

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-06/day-btfd-failed

    Mi upravo svjedocimo dogadajima koji ce utjecati i prepricavati se stoljecima
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    Postaj  wiz 07.04.14 16:18

    tokom vikenda je bankar (i njegova familija) ubijen. A danas je u podzemnoj garazi u linhestajnu ubijen jos jedan

    As CEO Jürgen Frick is closely involved in all business activities of the bank with a special focus lying on client advisory, financing and financial product development. As well he supervises all real estate development projects of the Bank.
     
    Jürgen is also Chairman of the Board at Crystal Fund Management AG, a subsidiary of Bank Frick & Co.

    vise na linku

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-07/ceo-liechtenstein-bank-frick-murdered

    Dakle, ovo nije slucajno...ovo je namjerno i zahvatilo je bankare od londona do singapura do val strita do linhenstajna i njemacke...
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 08.04.14 9:56

    wiz je napisao/la:tokom vikenda je bankar (i njegova familija) ubijen. A danas je u podzemnoj garazi u linhestajnu ubijen jos jedan

    As CEO Jürgen Frick is closely involved in all business activities of the bank with a special focus lying on client advisory, financing and financial product development. As well he supervises all real estate development projects of the Bank.
     
    Jürgen is also Chairman of the Board at Crystal Fund Management AG, a subsidiary of Bank Frick & Co.

    vise na linku

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-07/ceo-liechtenstein-bank-frick-murdered

    Dakle, ovo nije slucajno...ovo je namjerno i zahvatilo je bankare od londona do singapura do val strita do linhenstajna i njemacke...

    Ipak mislim da ovim tempom nećemo istrijebiti iste?
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    Postaj  wiz 08.04.14 11:39

    Nostradurus je napisao/la:
    wiz je napisao/la:tokom vikenda je bankar (i njegova familija) ubijen. A danas je u podzemnoj garazi u linhestajnu ubijen jos jedan

    As CEO Jürgen Frick is closely involved in all business activities of the bank with a special focus lying on client advisory, financing and financial product development. As well he supervises all real estate development projects of the Bank.
     
    Jürgen is also Chairman of the Board at Crystal Fund Management AG, a subsidiary of Bank Frick & Co.

    vise na linku

    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-07/ceo-liechtenstein-bank-frick-murdered

    Dakle, ovo nije slucajno...ovo je namjerno i zahvatilo je bankare od londona do singapura do val strita do linhenstajna i njemacke...

       Ipak mislim da ovim tempom nećemo istrijebiti iste?

    Ali je zato pravi trenutak za uloziti u mobilne gilojtine i konpac  Very Happy 

    Definitivno industrija koja bi mogla rasti Wink

    zamislite samo koji je to potencijal rasta...
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    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 Empty Rusija misli prodavati plin za rublje

    Postaj  Nostradurus 08.04.14 21:00

    Da li itko shvaća što znači plaćanje 220 milijardi dolara za plin u rubljama? Prema podacima o platnoj bilanci ( http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?v=145&c=rs&l=en ), Rusija ima platni suficit. Plaćanje u rubljama znači da će Rusija tražiti više rubalja nego što ih može potrošiti na uvoz. Kako onda doći do rubalja? Posudbom. Nekako se čini kao poznati plan za ekonomsko uništenje zapada. Rusija će na ime duga zbog posudbe moći kupovati sve važne resurse. Slično je probao Gadafi i bio je ubijen, a Libija ekonomski uništena. Znači li to da će Rusija postati meta ekonomskih ubojica?

    http://www.poslovni.hr/svijet-i-regija/rusi-pripremaju-prelazak-na-naplatu-izvoza-u-rublji-268457
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    Postaj  Fico 08.04.14 21:33

    Ključno pitanje je: kako to Rusija može tražiti rubalj od nekoga kada je isti dug sam po sebi? Rusiji iz godine u godinu vanjski dug prema bankama raste pa se banke mogu prozvati Rusiju za hitnije vračanje dugova.
    Sve ove napetosti između Istoka i Zapada su samo predstava za javnost jer da se oni stvarno tako ne vole onda bi izbio rat između njih u Ukrajini,a ne podjela plijena gdje Krim ide Rusiji a ostatak Ukrajine u EU. Nikome nije u interesu razoriti kuglu Zemaljsku preko oružanog sukoba,danas se ratovi vode programiranjem umova,s tim da dok god Rusija ima ovu demokraciju iz Francuske revolucije,dotle se ništa neće događati. Razlog napada na Libiju je u prvom redu bio zato jer je čvrsta diktatorska vlast najveći neprijatelj globalistima ukoliko ona ne ide u prilog njima.
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    Postaj  Nostradurus 09.04.14 14:47

    Fico je napisao/la: Razlog napada na Libiju je u prvom redu bio zato jer je čvrsta diktatorska vlast najveći neprijatelj globalistima ukoliko ona ne ide u prilog njima.

    Ne, to je samo laki izgovor kada oni nisu postavili diktatora.
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    Postaj  wiz 09.04.14 17:13

    Nostradurus je napisao/la:Da li itko shvaća što znači plaćanje 220 milijardi dolara za plin u rubljama?  Prema podacima o platnoj bilanci ( http://www.indexmundi.com/g/g.aspx?v=145&c=rs&l=en ), Rusija ima platni suficit. Plaćanje u rubljama znači da će Rusija tražiti više rubalja nego što ih može potrošiti na uvoz. Kako onda doći do rubalja? Posudbom. Nekako se čini kao poznati plan za ekonomsko uništenje zapada. Rusija će na ime duga zbog posudbe moći kupovati sve važne resurse. Slično je probao Gadafi i bio je ubijen, a Libija ekonomski uništena. Znači li to da će Rusija postati meta ekonomskih ubojica?

    http://www.poslovni.hr/svijet-i-regija/rusi-pripremaju-prelazak-na-naplatu-izvoza-u-rublji-268457
    vec je

    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 Russia_wants_war_look_how_closely_they_put_country_to_our_military_bases

    iran

    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 Iran2


    Russia And China About To Sign "Holy Grail" Gas Deal

    Several weeks ago we reported that in response to ongoing alienation of Russia by the west Putin was aggressively setting the stage for Russia's eastward expansion, set to culminate with a "holy grail" gas deal with China. We said that "while Europe is furiously scrambling to find alternative sources of energy should Gazprom pull the plug on natgas exports to Germany and Europe (the imminent surge in Ukraine gas prices by 40% is probably the best indication of what the outcome would be), Russia is preparing the announcement of the "Holy Grail" energy deal with none other than China, a move which would send geopolitical shockwaves around the world and bind the two nations in a commodity-backed axis."
    Reuters added, reflecting on the recent trip of Rosneft executive chairman to Asia, that "the underlying message from the head of Russia's biggest oil company, Rosneft, was clear: If Europe and the United States isolate Russia, Moscow will look East for new business, energy deals, military contracts and political alliances.  The Holy Grail for Moscow is a natural gas supply deal with China that is apparently now close after years of negotiations. If it can be signed when Putin visits China in May, he will be able to hold it up to show that global power has shifted eastwards and he does not need the West."
    It's time for an update. According to Itar-Tass, "Russia's Gazprom and China are poised to conclude a gas supply contract in coming weeks, the first in a series of energy projects planned between the two countries. "We’re working now to sign a gas contract in May," said Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich. "Consultations are continuing and Gazprom's leaders are holding talks with Chinese partners on the contract terms. We hope to conclude the contract in May and believe it should come into effect by the year end."
    http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-04-09/russia-and-china-about-sign-holy-grail-gas-deal

    Sa irancima su vec prije potpisali dogovor. A rusima nije problem zatvoriti plinovode / naftovode koji idu prema evropi i to sve preusmjeriti prema kini. Kina tako i tako je kupuje naftu i plin i to im treba a moze rusima davati proizvode jer imaju dovoljno tvornica da pokriju cijelo rusko trziste sa proizvodima. Sad imaju i visegodisnje iskustvo proizvodnje tih itish proizvoda za americko (i evropsko) trziste. A cak im je i blize, ne moraju slati preko mora.

    To bi onda znacilo da amerikanci ostaju bez jeftine kineske robe koju kupuju sa bezvrijednim dolarima a evropa ostaje bez lina koji im odrzava industriju. Inace, norveski plin (sjeverno more) je na izmaku i sve ga je manje. Sanse da amerikanci izvoze plin u evropu su odlicne za jedno 10 godina. Prije toga nikakve jer je potrebno cijelu infrastruktu prije izmjeniti. A za 10 godina amerikanci vise nece imati plina jer ga sad dobijaju "frakingom" koji puno brze iscrpi rezerve (deplation) nego konvencionalno busenje.

    http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-10-10/u-dot-s-dot-shale-oil-boom-may-not-last-as-fracking-wells-lack-staying-power
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    • Post n°376

    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 Empty Re: Komentari vijesti

    Postaj  Fico 09.04.14 21:58

    Nostradurus je napisao/la:


      Ne, to je samo laki izgovor kada oni nisu postavili diktatora.
    Ako je to samo laki izgovor,kako objašnjavate činjenicu da su globalisti protiv svih država koje imaju diktatore koji se ponašaju suprotno onome kako bi oni htjeli?
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    • Post n°377

    Komentari vijesti - Page 14 Empty Re: Komentari vijesti

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